All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Harrison 8-Way |
Tippecanoe City/County |
Harrison Invitational |
Ben Davis Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Hoosier Conference |
Harrison (WL) Sectional |
Harrison (WL) Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/13 |
8/22 |
8/29 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
250 |
351 |
1,106 |
572 |
299 |
325 |
333 |
297 |
352 |
343 |
260 |
281 |
226 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
319 |
250 |
432 |
299 |
325 |
333 |
297 |
352 |
303 |
260 |
281 |
226 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Harrison 8-Way |
Tippecanoe City/County |
Harrison Invitational |
Ben Davis Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Hoosier Conference |
Harrison (WL) Sectional |
Harrison (WL) Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 28 |
Mary Schultz |
11 |
18:56 |
19:49 |
|
19:55 |
19:18 |
19:13 |
19:08 |
19:09 |
19:11 |
19:19 |
19:14 |
19:20 |
18:48 |
| 77 |
Emma Tate |
11 |
19:31 |
19:55 |
|
|
19:31 |
19:28 |
19:42 |
19:40 |
19:39 |
19:50 |
19:20 |
19:50 |
19:22 |
| 89 |
Caroline Jordan |
10 |
19:37 |
19:55 |
|
20:04 |
19:41 |
19:43 |
25:41 |
19:23 |
20:39 |
19:45 |
19:49 |
19:29 |
19:28 |
| 171 |
Ella Marks |
9 |
20:06 |
|
|
22:38 |
22:07 |
22:00 |
22:23 |
21:29 |
21:41 |
|
21:09 |
20:36 |
19:58 |
| 233 |
Bella Garcia |
10 |
20:27 |
20:37 |
|
21:00 |
20:37 |
20:54 |
20:49 |
20:24 |
20:42 |
20:53 |
20:07 |
20:20 |
20:27 |
| 252 |
Ellie Tate |
11 |
20:32 |
20:45 |
|
|
20:40 |
20:52 |
20:58 |
20:59 |
20:45 |
20:51 |
20:26 |
21:04 |
20:23 |
| 306 |
Abby Hummels |
12 |
20:42 |
20:59 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
21:14 |
20:53 |
|
20:27 |
20:57 |
| 322 |
Haley Mansfield |
9 |
20:46 |
20:48 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 457 |
Sarah Greenwell |
11 |
21:13 |
21:05 |
21:23 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 674 |
Ellie Haq |
10 |
21:48 |
22:09 |
|
21:50 |
21:44 |
21:54 |
21:32 |
22:16 |
|
21:32 |
|
|
|
| 1,042 |
Itoro Udo-Imeh |
12 |
22:43 |
|
22:58 |
22:11 |
22:22 |
22:58 |
23:03 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,285 |
Amelia Simpson |
9 |
23:15 |
23:48 |
22:56 |
23:04 |
23:26 |
23:14 |
23:17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,391 |
Abby Serra |
9 |
23:26 |
23:28 |
23:37 |
22:44 |
23:09 |
23:38 |
24:00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Anna Steffey |
9 |
23:54 |
24:24 |
23:18 |
23:43 |
24:18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
11.8 |
318 |
|
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
2.9 |
5.3 |
6.1 |
8.0 |
10.5 |
11.9 |
12.3 |
11.1 |
8.7 |
6.2 |
4.8 |
3.9 |
2.2 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
2.9 |
120 |
12.9 |
30.8 |
28.5 |
15.7 |
8.3 |
3.8 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.0 |
35 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
20 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mary Schultz |
100% |
28.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
|
99.9% |
| Emma Tate |
100% |
73.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
78.8% |
| Caroline Jordan |
100% |
82.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
68.1% |
| Ella Marks |
100% |
127.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9.1% |
| Bella Garcia |
100% |
153.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4% |
| Ellie Tate |
100% |
159.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
| Abby Hummels |
100% |
170.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mary Schultz |
100% |
6.1 |
2.8 |
6.0 |
8.1 |
9.4 |
10.8 |
11.2 |
12.7 |
10.8 |
8.7 |
7.5 |
4.6 |
3.0 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Emma Tate |
100% |
16.6 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
3.7 |
4.9 |
6.2 |
7.5 |
5.3 |
7.1 |
6.0 |
5.9 |
5.6 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Caroline Jordan |
100% |
19.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
3.2 |
3.9 |
4.8 |
5.3 |
5.0 |
5.4 |
5.6 |
5.3 |
5.6 |
5.8 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Ella Marks |
100% |
38.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Bella Garcia |
100% |
56.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
99.9% |
| Ellie Tate |
100% |
60.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
99.8% |
| Abby Hummels |
100% |
70.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.4% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mary Schultz |
100% |
1.5 |
17.6 |
71.9 |
8.2 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Emma Tate |
100% |
4.0 |
|
1.1 |
25.2 |
24.7 |
19.4 |
13.3 |
9.4 |
4.2 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Caroline Jordan |
100% |
5.0 |
|
0.3 |
12.2 |
18.3 |
18.8 |
21.4 |
14.9 |
7.9 |
3.8 |
1.9 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ella Marks |
100% |
9.5 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.4 |
3.5 |
7.4 |
13.5 |
16.1 |
15.0 |
13.5 |
11.5 |
7.2 |
5.6 |
3.0 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Bella Garcia |
100% |
14.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
2.6 |
4.5 |
7.5 |
9.1 |
12.2 |
12.7 |
12.0 |
11.2 |
9.6 |
6.8 |
3.9 |
3.0 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Ellie Tate |
100% |
15.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
2.7 |
5.0 |
5.9 |
9.9 |
10.6 |
12.4 |
12.0 |
11.1 |
10.3 |
7.6 |
4.9 |
2.7 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Abby Hummels |
100% |
17.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
4.6 |
7.7 |
10.8 |
11.4 |
12.8 |
13.0 |
12.5 |
7.9 |
5.7 |
2.8 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mary Schultz |
1.0 |
95.8 |
4.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Emma Tate |
2.2 |
0.8 |
41.9 |
37.0 |
16.4 |
3.8 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Caroline Jordan |
2.7 |
0.2 |
24.2 |
35.4 |
30.5 |
8.7 |
1.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ella Marks |
5.2 |
|
0.2 |
0.9 |
8.4 |
33.6 |
40.1 |
10.2 |
3.8 |
1.8 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bella Garcia |
7.6 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
2.5 |
9.9 |
24.7 |
21.7 |
15.3 |
11.4 |
8.2 |
3.2 |
2.2 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ellie Tate |
8.2 |
|
|
|
|
1.4 |
6.1 |
17.0 |
21.5 |
18.0 |
13.7 |
10.1 |
5.6 |
4.0 |
1.7 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Abby Hummels |
10.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.2 |
4.7 |
8.4 |
16.3 |
17.7 |
16.9 |
15.5 |
8.3 |
5.7 |
3.2 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
